Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Geopolitics

This market resolves to YES if the United States acquires sovereignty, ownership, or administrative control over any part of Greenland by December 31, 2026. This includes purchase, lease, or treaty-based transfer.

Resolves: December 31, 2026Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 03:24 AM

Yes

7.7%

92.3%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 38.5s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

98% confidence4 web searches19.2s

Yes

1.0%

99.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

85% confidence5 web searches32.2s

Yes

12.0%

88.0%

Grok 3

75% confidence3 web searches38.5s

Yes

10.0%

90.0%