Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

This market resolves to the individual who wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. If no nominee is selected by the end date, resolves to the closest equivalent.

Resolves: November 7, 2028Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Monday, February 9, 2026 at 12:55 AM

Ron DeSantis

20.0%

JD Vance

18.3%

Other

15.0%

Marco Rubio

9.7%

Donald Trump

9.0%

Glenn Youngkin

8.3%

Vivek Ramaswamy

7.3%

Ted Cruz

5.0%

Tucker Carlson

3.7%

Donald Trump Jr.

3.7%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 45.2s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

60% confidence11 web searches45.2s

Other

22.0%

Ron DeSantis

22.0%

JD Vance

18.0%

Glenn Youngkin

8.0%

Vivek Ramaswamy

8.0%

Donald Trump

7.0%

Tucker Carlson

5.0%

Marco Rubio

4.0%

Ted Cruz

3.0%

Donald Trump Jr.

3.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

60% confidence2 web searches37.1s

JD Vance

25.0%

Ron DeSantis

20.0%

Marco Rubio

15.0%

Vivek Ramaswamy

12.0%

Glenn Youngkin

10.0%

Donald Trump

5.0%

Ted Cruz

4.0%

Other

3.0%

Tucker Carlson

3.0%

Donald Trump Jr.

3.0%

Grok 3

30% confidence1 web search27.7s

Other

20.0%

Ron DeSantis

18.0%

Donald Trump

15.0%

JD Vance

12.0%

Marco Rubio

10.0%

Ted Cruz

8.0%

Glenn Youngkin

7.0%

Donald Trump Jr.

5.0%

Tucker Carlson

3.0%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2.0%