OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Technology

This market resolves based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, resolves to No IPO.

Resolves: December 31, 2026Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 02:59 AM

$750B-$1T

29.0%

$1T-$1.25T

19.7%

$500B-$750B

19.3%

No IPO by Dec 2026

11.0%

<$500B

10.7%

$1.25T-$1.5T

7.7%

$1.5T+

2.7%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 38.0s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

75% confidence3 web searches20.5s

$750B-$1T

32.0%

No IPO by Dec 2026

20.0%

$1T-$1.25T

19.0%

$500B-$750B

13.0%

$1.25T-$1.5T

8.0%

<$500B

7.0%

$1.5T+

1.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

85% confidence5 web searches31.6s

$750B-$1T

35.0%

$1T-$1.25T

25.0%

$500B-$750B

20.0%

<$500B

10.0%

$1.25T-$1.5T

5.0%

No IPO by Dec 2026

3.0%

$1.5T+

2.0%

Grok 3

70% confidence2 web searches38.0s

$500B-$750B

25.0%

$750B-$1T

20.0%

$1T-$1.25T

15.0%

<$500B

15.0%

No IPO by Dec 2026

10.0%

$1.25T-$1.5T

10.0%

$1.5T+

5.0%