2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Sports

This market resolves to the nation that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The final is scheduled for July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.

Resolves: July 19, 2026Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 03:19 AM

Spain

18.7%

France

14.3%

Argentina

14.3%

Brazil

13.7%

England

11.7%

Portugal

8.3%

Germany

8.0%

Other

6.0%

Netherlands

5.0%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 48.2s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

85% confidence5 web searches31.6s

Spain

18.0%

England

16.0%

France

15.0%

Brazil

13.0%

Argentina

13.0%

Other

7.0%

Germany

7.0%

Portugal

7.0%

Netherlands

4.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

75% confidence5 web searches36.9s

Spain

18.0%

France

14.0%

Brazil

13.0%

Argentina

12.0%

Germany

11.0%

Portugal

10.0%

England

9.0%

Other

7.0%

Netherlands

6.0%

Grok 3

60% confidence2 web searches48.2s

Spain

20.0%

Argentina

18.0%

Brazil

15.0%

France

14.0%

England

10.0%

Portugal

8.0%

Germany

6.0%

Netherlands

5.0%

Other

4.0%