2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Sports

This market resolves to the nation that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The final is scheduled for July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.

Resolves: July 19, 2026Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Monday, February 9, 2026 at 12:55 AM

France

18.0%

Brazil

16.7%

Argentina

14.3%

England

13.0%

Spain

11.7%

Germany

8.7%

Portugal

7.0%

Netherlands

5.3%

Other

5.3%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 30.2s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

70% confidence7 web searches30.2s

France

21.0%

Brazil

20.0%

Argentina

15.0%

England

13.0%

Spain

10.0%

Germany

7.0%

Other

6.0%

Portugal

5.0%

Netherlands

3.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

60% confidence2 web searches28.4s

France

18.0%

England

16.0%

Argentina

14.0%

Spain

13.0%

Brazil

12.0%

Germany

10.0%

Portugal

8.0%

Netherlands

6.0%

Other

3.0%

Grok 3

40% confidence4 web searches19.7s

Brazil

18.0%

France

15.0%

Argentina

14.0%

Spain

12.0%

England

10.0%

Germany

9.0%

Portugal

8.0%

Other

7.0%

Netherlands

7.0%