Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

This market resolves to the individual who wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. If no nominee is selected by the end date, resolves to the closest equivalent.

Resolves: November 7, 2028Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Monday, February 9, 2026 at 12:57 AM

Gavin Newsom

20.7%

Kamala Harris

20.7%

Gretchen Whitmer

11.7%

Josh Shapiro

10.7%

Pete Buttigieg

10.3%

Andy Beshear

7.0%

Other

6.0%

J.B. Pritzker

5.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

4.3%

Jon Ossoff

3.0%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 34.4s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

80% confidence5 web searches24.4s

Kamala Harris

33.0%

Gavin Newsom

22.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

10.0%

Pete Buttigieg

9.0%

Andy Beshear

8.0%

Other

6.0%

J.B. Pritzker

6.0%

Josh Shapiro

4.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

1.0%

Jon Ossoff

1.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

40% confidence3 web searches34.4s

Gavin Newsom

25.0%

Josh Shapiro

18.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

15.0%

Pete Buttigieg

12.0%

Andy Beshear

8.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

7.0%

J.B. Pritzker

6.0%

Kamala Harris

4.0%

Jon Ossoff

3.0%

Other

2.0%

Grok 3

50% confidence2 web searches11.6s

Kamala Harris

25.0%

Gavin Newsom

15.0%

Other

10.0%

Josh Shapiro

10.0%

Pete Buttigieg

10.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

10.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

5.0%

Jon Ossoff

5.0%

J.B. Pritzker

5.0%

Andy Beshear

5.0%