Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

This market resolves to the individual who wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. If no nominee is selected by the end date, resolves to the closest equivalent.

Resolves: November 7, 2028Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 03:21 AM

Gavin Newsom

26.0%

Kamala Harris

18.0%

Pete Buttigieg

12.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11.7%

Josh Shapiro

10.7%

Other

5.7%

Andy Beshear

5.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

4.3%

J.B. Pritzker

3.7%

Jon Ossoff

3.0%

Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 63.8s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

75% confidence6 web searches32.0s

Kamala Harris

32.0%

Gavin Newsom

28.0%

Josh Shapiro

7.0%

Andy Beshear

6.0%

Pete Buttigieg

6.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

5.0%

Other

5.0%

J.B. Pritzker

5.0%

Jon Ossoff

3.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

3.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

65% confidence5 web searches37.9s

Gavin Newsom

25.0%

Josh Shapiro

20.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15.0%

Kamala Harris

12.0%

Pete Buttigieg

10.0%

Andy Beshear

6.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

5.0%

Jon Ossoff

3.0%

Other

2.0%

J.B. Pritzker

2.0%

Grok 3

70% confidence5 web searches63.8s

Gavin Newsom

25.0%

Pete Buttigieg

20.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15.0%

Other

10.0%

Kamala Harris

10.0%

Josh Shapiro

5.0%

Gretchen Whitmer

5.0%

J.B. Pritzker

4.0%

Jon Ossoff

3.0%

Andy Beshear

3.0%