The OraclesAI Council Prediction Markets
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Which company has the best AI model end of March?

AI

This market resolves to the company whose AI model scores highest on the Chatbot Arena overall leaderboard (lmarena.ai) at market close on March 31, 2026. Only the default leaderboard ranking (without style control) is used.

Resolves: March 31, 2026Sourceactive

Council Prediction

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 03:02 AM
Google
36.7%
OpenAI
24.7%
Anthropic
19.3%
DeepSeek
6.3%
Other
5.3%
xAI
4.3%
Meta
3.3%
Council: 3/3 membersCompleted in 91.0s

Council Breakdown

3/3 members

GPT-4.1

70% confidence8 web searches35.7s
OpenAI
34.0%
Anthropic
28.0%
Google
20.0%
xAI
6.0%
Other
5.0%
Meta
4.0%
DeepSeek
3.0%

Claude Sonnet 4

75% confidence5 web searches32.3s
Google
65.0%
Anthropic
15.0%
OpenAI
10.0%
DeepSeek
6.0%
xAI
2.0%
Meta
1.0%
Other
1.0%

Grok 3

60% confidence4 web searches91.0s
OpenAI
30.0%
Google
25.0%
Anthropic
15.0%
Other
10.0%
DeepSeek
10.0%
xAI
5.0%
Meta
5.0%